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Summary
400 test day records were used for testing the accuracy of
measurement of the test day yield of three time a day milking
Awassi ewes. The actual test day yield was approximated by only
one individual measurement and its weighting by the ratio of total
yield in the farm in that milking and of the whole day.
Coefficients for separate test days and period of the day wary
from 1.9 to 3.4. The average difference for the morning, midday
and evening milkings three practically zero, and the corresponding
extremes were from -0.67 l to 0.81 l, from -1.05 l to 0.79 l and
from -1.14 l to 1.22 l. Only about 30% of the deviations in
predicted and actual yields were in the range
±5%.
Differences were not affected by the age, lactation stage,
consequence and level of the test day.
It was considered that the differences from the actual yield are
too big and the method is of use for herds in the initial stages
of recording practice and with limited importance for the breed
improvement.
Key words:
test day yield, approximation, three time a day milking
Introduction
Milk recording in the extensive dairy sheep breeding schemes is
one of the most time and efforts consuming tasks. This is the base
for further assessment of genetic parameters (Barrilet et al.,
1987, 1994, Barrilet, 1990). A trial is made for
simplification of the official A4 ICAR recording scheme (ICAR,
2005) by measurement of the individual ewe milk yield only once
during the test day and approximating the total individual test
day yield with the relative total yield in the flock in conditions
of three time milking a day, e.g. AC method. In the official
guidelines (ICAR, 2005) the AC method is recommended for two
milkings a day. A proper measurement of the test day yield is one
of the important points in sheep improvement (Blair, 1982,
Epstain, 1985, Boyazoglu et al., 1990, Hristov, 1995).
Objective of the study was to test the A4 and AC methods at three
time milkings of Awassi sheep during the test day.
Material and methods
Among 400 individual test records in the AMF-Kumanovo which were
made in 2001 and 2002 on 21 and 33 ewes respectively were chosen
371, all of which with measurement in the morning, at noon and at
the evening of the test day during the milking only period. For
the sake of the study the test days with one and two measurements
were omitted in this comparative study.
The total milk for the flock was calculated on the bases of the
individual measurements per ewe for each milking and test day and
the proportion of these amounts to the total yield during the day
of test. Prediction coefficients (Coef) for the flock test day
yields weighted the difference in the milk in separate milkings.
These coefficients were the ratio of the total yield to the yield
of a given separate milking.
For the morning individual test the corresponding coef was:
Coef(morning)=total yield/morning yield
Next, the individual morning yield of each ewe was multiplied by
this coefficient for approximation of the yield for the whole test
day. This predicted yield was compared to the actual yield which
was measured by summation of individual yields for each milking.
The difference of predicted and actual yield was analyzed. It is
expressed in actual units, e.g. litters (l) and in percentage from
the individual actual yield.
Results and discussion
1. Coefficients for separate test days
Average milk yield of recorded ewes in the study for the morning
milking was 0.594±0.027
l, for the midday milking 0.406±0.017
l, for the evening milking 0.393±0.020
l and for the test day 1.359±0.053
l which sources of variation were discussed in a previous study (Dimov
et al., 2005).
The coefficients for separate test days (Table 1) were lower for
the morning compared to the noon and evening milkings, which
corresponded to the highest level of the yield measured in the
morning. Coefficients for the noon and evening milkings were close
in value with somewhat smaller values for the latter one. Results
suggested that in prediction of the daily yield the most
considerable was the importance of the morning followed by the
evening and midday milkings.
Table 1.
Weighting coefficients for morning, midday and evening milking by
month-year of test day (mytest)
|
mytest |
No ewes |
Morning |
Noon |
Evening |
|
12002 |
10 |
2.402 |
3.953 |
3.024 |
|
22002 |
23 |
2.360 |
3.240 |
3.736 |
|
32002 |
26 |
2.241 |
3.003 |
4.529 |
|
42002 |
29 |
1.998 |
3.954 |
4.054 |
|
52002 |
32 |
1.973 |
3.987 |
4.127 |
|
62002 |
33 |
2.491 |
3.765 |
3.003 |
|
72002 |
33 |
2.670 |
3.395 |
3.022 |
|
92002 |
10 |
3.391 |
3.408 |
2.429 |
|
52001 |
21 |
2.636 |
3.354 |
3.101 |
|
62001 |
22 |
2.736 |
3.435 |
2.912 |
|
72001 |
22 |
2.077 |
4.072 |
3.664 |
|
82001 |
21 |
2.348 |
3.625 |
3.354 |
|
92001 |
21 |
2.621 |
3.522 |
2.989 |
|
102001 |
20 |
2.499 |
3.469 |
3.210 |
|
22001 |
15 |
2.489 |
3.152 |
3.558 |
|
32001 |
15 |
2.511 |
3.190 |
3.468 |
|
42001 |
18 |
2.658 |
3.410 |
3.026 |
|
Sum |
371 |
|
|
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Possible deviations in the individual yields from the general
tendency of morning-noon-evening level will be weighted and
possibly overestimated by using the noon milking and will cause
the smallest effect on the predicted daily yield by using the
morning coefficient. Later in the study the differences of the
predicted and actual yields were discussed.
2. Differences between the predicted and actual individual test
day yields
The three tested methods of prediction gave practically zero
average difference of the predicted and actual yield (Table 2).
The minimum and maximum of the deviations for a particular
ewe/milking were lowest for the morning milking (from –0.67 l to
0.81 l, e.g. from -31.2% to 38.6% from the actual daily yield) and
highest for the evening one (from –1.14 l to 1.22 l, e.g. from
–67.1% to 81.3% from the actual daily yield). The standard
deviation of the difference was smaller for the morning milking,
0.20 l and highest for the evening milking, 0.33 l.
Table 2.
Average difference of predicted and actual test day milk yield
when prediction is made only on the morning, midday or evening
recording, l
|
Milking |
N |
Minimum |
Maximum |
Mean |
Std. Deviation |
|
Morning |
371 |
-0,67 |
0,81 |
-0,0008 |
0,20304 |
|
Noon |
371 |
-1,05 |
0,79 |
0,0008 |
0,23976 |
|
Evening |
371 |
-1,14 |
1,22 |
0,0001 |
0,32556 |
Results showed that the extreme differences are big and
could influence the test day yield considerably when it is
approximated on the base of single daily milking. The distribution
of relative deviation of predicted and the actual yield (Table 3)
illustrated that relatively small part of the measurements, from
26.2% at the midday milking to 33.8% at morning milking were in
the scope of
±5%.
Almost equal part of the predicted individual test day yields were
over- and underestimated. This difference could be considered as
very big and control of the productivity on that base is subject
of error. This type of recording might be used for preliminary
assessment of some flocks just entering the recording scheme.
Table 3.
Distribution in % of the relative difference in separate milkings
|
Milking |
Relative difference class, % |
|
|
<5% |
±5% |
>5% |
|
Morning |
34.6 |
33.8 |
31.6 |
|
Noon |
37.0 |
28.9 |
34.1 |
|
Evening |
38.1 |
26.2 |
35.7 |
Some reasons for the deviation were presented next in the study.
Possible significant sources could correct the accuracy of
assessment and improve the test day yield prediction.
3. Effects of different factors on the difference between
predicted and actual yield
The main effects which were examined to influence the difference
of predicted and actual yield were lactation (LAC), type of
lactation curve (TYPE), number of lambs born (NOLAM), order of
test day (TD) and level of actual yield (LEVLTD). The LS-analyses
of variance showed that most of these did not affect the
difference of prediction. The only factor with significant effect
(P<0.01) was the number of lambs born at morning and midday
milkings (Table 4).
Table 4.
Effect of different factors on the difference of predicted and
actual test day milk yield
|
Source |
df |
Morning |
Noon |
Evening |
|
|
|
MS |
F |
Sig. |
MS |
F |
Sig. |
MS |
F |
Sig. |
|
Corrected Model |
19 |
0,067 |
1,682 |
0,037 |
0,064 |
1,126 |
0,322 |
0,157 |
1,526 |
0,074 |
|
Intercept |
1 |
0,060 |
1,501 |
0,221 |
0,055 |
0,955 |
0,329 |
0,241 |
2,339 |
0,127 |
|
LAC |
6 |
0,069 |
1,728 |
0,113 |
0,089 |
1,553 |
0,160 |
0,237 |
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